Surviving In Argentina

The latest posts from Surviving In Argentina




Hello Fernando
My county in California is starting to issue concealed carry permits. However, magazines with more than 10 rounds are illegal. What concealed carry handgun would you recommend with that restriction in mind?
Regards
Cody
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Hello Cody,
First of all, congratulations on the good news. Whenever you can legally do so, you should get your concealed carry permit and carry a firearm. It´s important to get proper training before doing so, but you should exercise your right to be armed and capable of defending yourself and your loved ones whenever possible.
Regarding your question, 10 rounds isnt that bad. It would be better to have full magazine capacity, but with 10 rounds you can still do plenty, especially given that you can carry other spare magazines.
My advice will depend on your situation and how many guns you plan on owning. If you’re getting your first gun, make that a 9mm Glock pistol, either Glock 17 or Glock 19, with Glock 19 usually being favored for concealed carry as they are a bit more compact. I wouldn’t go for anything smaller than that myself, given that you start to compromise on grip and sight radius, which in most people that I know of will negatively affect their shooting. There’s nothing wrong with 9mm and loaded with premium brand ammo such as Gold Dot it should perform well enough. 9mm is also cheap enough so that you can afford to take enough training classes so as to be proficient with your weapon.

If you’re planning on getting a second handgun, maybe then I’d go for something a big more powerful, such as a Glock 31 or 32 in 357SIG. With a Glock 32 you have the exact same exterior dimensions as a Glock 19, but shooting a more powerful round. Is the stopping power worth it? Depends, for some people it isnt, for others its worth just so as shoot something with a slightly greater chance of incapacitation. Some people will go for even bigger or more powerful rounds such as 45ACP or 10mm, in an attempt to compensate for the reduced capacity. I think this isnt always a good idea if shooting a bigger or more powerful round means you’ll be less accurate, or even more relevant, lose accurate follow up shot speed.
So, Glock 9mm for your first gun, Glock 357SIG if you want something that shoots ammo a bit more expensive but that also has a more power.
FerFAL
Fernando “FerFAL” Aguirre is the author of “The Modern Survival Manual: Surviving the Economic Collapse” and “Bugging Out and Relocating: When Staying is not an Option”.
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 29, 2015, 11:41 pm

There’s an interesting article posted over at artofmanliness.com about a person that traveled for 12 months all over the world with just a small backpack, taking a just a laptop computer, camera, couple spare set of socks and underwear and little else, focusing on high quality, lightweight gear. I think it’s a great exercise on minimalist travel and it goes to show how in today’s world you can basically live and travel all over the planet with a passport, credit card and some cash to move around. Of course this means you’ll be sleeping mostly indoors, eating out and sticking to urban areas. Such a minimalist approach obviously doesn’t include much in terms of preparedness, but given that in our community so many people stuff massive backpacks full of gear, in many cases items that aren’t needed, this would be a great place to start and only then build up from there.

Although not as minimalistic, I have backpacked in Ushuaia, Tierra del Fuego, taking a 45L backpack. I did need to bring along a tent, sleeping bag, food and cookware since I spend most of my time outdoors, but I did learned to appreciate the freedom of not having a huge, heavy pack.
One of the things I liked the most about the article was his focus on quality, light weight gear. A lot of his clothes are made of merino wool, which is an excellent material for this kind of task. Carefully selected clothes go a long way.

In terms of shelter he went for a Sea to Summit Silk Liner, which isnt much and you sure can’t sleep outdoors in cold climates with this alone unless you work hard in improvising better shelter. It is better than nothing but a something along the lines of Naturehike Outdoor Sleeping Bag would be better if sleeping outdoors is expected.
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What I Would Take
I completely agree on going for high quality clothes. Merino Wool base layers make a lot of sense given that merino wool is comfortable to wear, warm enough in winter, keeps you fresh enough in hot climates, wicks most away from your skin, reduces odor and has antibacterial properties.

Arc'teryx Alpha FL Jacket
I’d go for Icebreaker base layer top and bottom. For a midlayer, a good softshell such as Arc'teryx Epsilon LT Jacket. A waterproof hooded jacket such as Columbia’s Watertight II Packable Rain Jacket or Arc'teryx Alpha FL Jacket would complete the setup to deal with most climates.

5.11 TacLite Pro Pant
As for pants, no question about it, 5.11 TacLite Pro Pant are what I would wear if I could only have one pair. They are tough, repel water, dry quickly, comfortable and with big enough pockets. They aren’t very warm but would do well with long underwear.

One of my few criticisms would be his choice of shoes. Light hiking shoes may be enough for walking from airports to hotels and walk around the city some but such footwear wont last when used extensively in more rugged terrain. Personally I would have gone for Salomon Quest with Goretex.
Oh, and an Iphone? For traveling around the world?? Hell no. I’d go for a waterproof Samsung Galaxy S5 Active.
FerFAL
Fernando “FerFAL” Aguirre is the author of “The Modern Survival Manual: Surviving the Economic Collapse” and “Bugging Out and Relocating: When Staying is not an Option”.
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 29, 2015, 1:23 am
http://img.timeinc.net/time/wp/interactives/apps/natural_disasters/screenshot.png
This is an interesting resource. The interactive map lets you click for additional information. Check out your area and see how it rates regarding natural disasters.
http://time.com/safest-counties/
FerFAL
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 27, 2015, 7:36 pm
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 25, 2015, 11:45 pm

According to some people, the end of the world is just around the corner. Because of one reason or another, an economic collapse, terrorism strike, rise of communism or planed globalist population reduction by the new world order, we are supposed to see a surge of disasters world wide. Even in developed nations expect cities to burn and the masses to riot any time now.
This speech has changed little in over half a century. But wait! Any minute now! Cities will burn, people will stave, the hordes of looters will flow out of the cities, you’ll see, you’ll…
Bullshit.
And it’s the same BS doomers have been preaching for several decades now.
But lets talk about the real fights ahead of us while we’re at it.
You see, while in parts of the world war is destroying lives by the thousands every single day, and there is in fact true hunger in many countries, for those lucky enough to live in developed nations chances are they will be facing different challenges.

Crime and Self-Defense

No one knows for sure what the future holds but while it’s rather expected to see armed conflict and widespread war in developing nations, it’s not as common to see it in developed ones. I’m not saying it can’t happen, but it sure isn’t as common. While some survivalists and preppers believe the UN is about to invade any minute now and North Korea has millions of troops ready to parachute all across the west coast, I believe that in the future the threats will be of a different nature. The crime that already exists, will simply become much, much worse. You won’t need to live in some bunker hidden in the boonies because of a foreign army invasion, you’ll need to live in a well secured home because of the dangerous, constant violent crime that exists and you eventually grew used to. Alarms, reinforced doors, even paying for private security, it will no longer be a luxury but a necessity and the country will soon be divided between those that can afford to pay for it and enjoy the security that comes along with it and those that can’t. Chances are you wont get into a gunfight with the “supreme leader’s” goons, or even with a colorful band of survivors and raiders. Chances are that most people that get killed by gunshot wounds in the not so distant future will die in the parking lot of some 7 Eleven or walmart when stopping to pick some diapers for the baby waiting back home, or shot during a carjack when driving to the office. Awareness and skill with the gun you should be carrying on daily basis already, that’s your best defense for this type of scenario.

Food

We all need food, don’t we? Food is the number one item to stock up on, the one we know we can’t live without. Whenever food is brought up in the context of survivalism, famine quickly comes to mind. People starving to death, people desperate for a plate of food. This is a very real, legitimate concern, but there’s a good chance food will be a problem in the future but in a different way. There’s a good chance food will continue to be the reason why hundreds of thousands die, but not because of lack of it, but because of its poor quality and excess. The true battle will be making sure our kids have real, healthy food and not the garbage often sold to us as food. As of right now, two thirds of American adults are overweight or obese and so are 30.4% of low-income preschoolers. Obesity is what will continue to kill people in developed nations and as the statistics already show us, obesity is worse among the poorest population in the developed world. Rich folks? They’re skinny. With more poverty, we’ll see worse fed people, because of the cheaper junk food, but most of all because of a lack of education. People will die because of the junk food they eat on daily basis, while the much healthier grains they bought for their “preps” sit in buckets waiting for the end of the world.

Medical care
The cost of medical care will continue to rise. On one hand we have companies brainwashing people into eating food that makes them sick, on the other we have the same investors putting money into the pharmaceutical companies that keep these same sheep alive.
Breaking a leg, getting surgery or buying blood pressure meds, no matter what it is that you need it will continue to get more and more expensive, with a fewer percentage of a population capable of affording true quality medical care. Learn how to get healthy and stay that way now, before getting sick.

Education and Mindset
This will probably be the worst tragedy of all. The collapse of the education system. True education and freedom of thought being replaced by some standardized scheme designed to mass produce cogs to fit the corporate machine. Sate owned corporation, of course, or maybe better said, Corporate owned State, with corporate preapproved elected representatives.
The cost of education will continue to grow. First based on where you can afford to live, then based on the private school you can afford to send your kids to and finally based on the college their debt capability permits. And when the degree they overpaid for hardly helps to make up for the debt they amassed before working a single day in their lives, they’ll finally see that it’s more about friends, connections, and ultimately the real-world practical skills you have.
You prepare for this by understanding that education is important, but not because of some piece of paper in a frame, but the actual education you get by studying and working, the kind of education you get maybe working on your own projects after school when you’re still in high school. Google and Microsoft are already paying kids NOT to go to school and join them straight away. Today more than ever, its important to work on what you’re passionate about from an early age, and getting the education and capacitation needed so as to do that. The times when you could just get a degree, hang it in your studio and that alone would always get you a job no matter what are long gone.

Poverty
As you probably already see, poverty is the common denominator in most of these topics. Inequality will continue to grow, with the ruling elite becoming even more powerful, even more controlling of all aspects of people’s lives and people’s liberty and quality of life dropping proportionally.
I believe it’s stupid to worry about preparing for a dystopian American future where wars are fought on every street corner, and lean mean, hardened survivors fight one another over the limited resources such as food, fuel and supplies, that are still available. Have fun watching that movie but no, that’s not the future I see, at least not in the developed world. The future is already here, you just have to look: Overweight and dumbed-down by a poor, corrupted education system and even worse diet. Working on soul-crushing jobs to pay massive debts (their own and their parents!) along with inflated medical and education bills. Distracted by the latest reality TV show or latest cell phone launch, stressed by the growing crime and violence all around them and living with the constant uncertainty of imminent unemployment and growing inflation.
Which one do you think is more likely? Which one do you find more scary?
FerFAL
Fernando “FerFAL” Aguirre is the author of “The Modern Survival Manual: Surviving the Economic Collapse” and “Bugging Out and Relocating: When Staying is not an Option”.
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 23, 2015, 9:56 pm

If 68 year old Kateryna Bilyk can train and shoot the way she does, so can you. This tough old lady is a role model for all of us.
“Maybe such a time will come that I will be able to stand with the gun. What if I’m given a gun and not know how to fire? If everyone among us appreciates the homeland, then we will have victory,”



Fernando “FerFAL” Aguirre is the author of “The Modern Survival Manual: Surviving the Economic Collapse” and “Bugging Out and Relocating: When Staying is not an Option”.
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 21, 2015, 10:57 pm

Hi Fernando,
Happy New Year! You probably won't remember me but we had some email correspondence last year (I am in Canada) about your first book, which I loved. By the way, I bought your second book and loved that too.
So... what do you think about the "mysterious" suicide of Mr Alberto Nisman in Argentina?!
I am sure this will be your next topic on your website!
Best
Paul
/Your Friend in Canada :)
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Hello Paul,
It’s an absolute disgrace. That the prosecutor that was supposed to testify in front of the National Congress was assassinated the night before in his house just goes to show the level of corruption in the country.
Prosecutor in 1994 Buenos Aires Jewish center bombing found dead (cnn)
Argentine Prosecutor Found Dead Hours Before Testimony Against President Fernandez(ZeroHedge)
I mean, I had been following the developments for the last few weeks. Mr. Nisman had been very outspoken in the last few weeks about the evidence he had against the president, probably in an attempt to gain public recognition and therefore be safer in case of an “accident”.
Well, it did him no good. They still killed him before presenting the evidence.
It seems that he had managed to tap the phones of the presidential palace itself, and had hundreds of hours of phonecall recording showing the link between President Kirchner’s associates and Iranian terrorists, even evidence linking President Cristina Kirchner herself.

Something that isnt being mentioned but is very important: Cristina Kirchner’s husband, former president Nestor Kirchner had appointed Alberto Nisman himself to investigate the AMIA terrorist attack of 1994. Nestor Kirchner had created a new commission to investigate the link between the Iranian government and the attack to the Jewish center. Soon after that Nestor Kirchner dies unexpectedly, supposedly due to a heart attack. It was always rumored that he had been assassinated, maybe by drug cartels. The funeral was public but with a closed coffin. This is extremely unusual given that politicians in South America (and most of all Peronist ones!) turn funerals into political statements, so that the face of the deceased is remember. Not in this case. The funeral was televised live with hundreds of thousands attending but with a suspiciously closed coffin.
Immediately after his death and with his wife assuming the presidency, Cristina Kirchner has a complete change of heart and changes her policy towards Iran 180º, protecting the suspects and providing political support to Iran in the region. But Alberto Nisman was already assigned and had started to investigate…

Make no mistake. The terrorists guilty for the attack are long gone and the only thing left was proof of the president’s cover up and associating with terrorists. This is why Cristina Kirchner has Alberto Nisman killed the day before he testifies in front of the National Congress.
As Cristina Kirchner said herself not long ago."One should only fear God... and me"
FerFAL
Fernando “FerFAL” Aguirre is the author of “The Modern Survival Manual: Surviving the Economic Collapse” and “Bugging Out and Relocating: When Staying is not an Option”.
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 21, 2015, 12:25 am


Fernando
1) In your 2009 book you described a type of crime that arose in Argentina after the 2001 collapse--virtual kidnapping. In the past, this crime was unknown in the USA but the news here is now reporting that hundreds of such crimes have occurred recently in New York.
An excerpt:
[ Reuters) - In a new wrinkle to an old crime, hundreds of New Yorkers have been tricked into paying ransoms by wire transfer to callers who falsely claim to have kidnapped their family members, according to the FBI.
In these "virtual kidnappings," scammers make random calls to find their victims, saying a loved one has been snatched and demanding the immediate transfer of small sums of money to have them released, the FBI said.
Some calls feature screaming in the background to convince a victim of the authenticity of an abduction, the FBI said.
"There have been hundreds of the hoax kidnappings just in New York over the last
18 months," FBI spokesman Peter Donald said on Wednesday. "This is hundreds of people
who have actually wired money to them." ]
Don
                                   ...

 
Thanks Don.
 This is very concerning and it’s a serious indicator as of where things are heading.
Some folks think that virtual kidnappings are pranks or almost harmless practical jokes so maybe a little more explanation is in order, so here it goes:
Yes, if you get a call from someone telling you they have your wife while she’s right next to you or your kids and you can verify that they are in school in five minutes its not much a big deal. Not pleasant, but not dangerous. These kind of very rudimentary cons go along the lines of the Nigerian prince email. Some people will fall for it, while lots of folks wont. The problem starts when it’s a bit more advanced than a random phone call and there’s more and better intel involved. The key for a good virtual kidnaping is knowledge and timing. You have to know that the person is cut from communication with the family, you have to know there’s going to be enough time, and its even better if the family was not expecting to be unable to communicate.
A couple examples that have happened before. A guy at the office has a mistress. Someone there knows that while the wife thinks he’s working, he’s really at the hotel, and he turns his phone off. Or maybe the mistress(or maybe it’s a prostitute) knows this, shares the information with accomplices. Lets say they have an hour to work with. They call, tell the wife they know who his husband is, maybe send a picture, and that she has one hour to give them $100.000. She calls his husband and is unable to communicate. She gets a call again demanding the money. She says she hasn’t got that kind of money, that she only has X amount available. This has happened with sudden, unexpected trips, even with new jobsites where there’s poor signal. It has happen with people that lost their phone or got their phone stolen (and the wrong person happened to catch that bit of information, or stole the phone themselves). Basically any moment when you’re a) unable to be reached b) some scumbag knows about it, it can be used against you.

Express Kidnappings
This is where it gets scary. While virtual kidnapping are still pretty bad in terms of getting money taken away from you, an express kidnapping is very much a real one. Basically the criminals just drive around and randomly pick up a victim based on looks, the car he/she drives, the clothes worn or even just the neighborhood the person is in. In Argentina they specifically targeted private school kids based on their uniform. When they so a private school uniform they knew that person at least had 500 bucks or so for school, so logically he was likely to have money. It got so bad that for some times many schools allowed pupils not to wear uniforms any more. So the victim is snatched, the family is contacted and money is requested for the vicitms safe release.
There’s several reasons why express kidnappings are so common, in many ways so successful and hard to stop.

1)Time. Its fast, a couple hours, maybe a few minutes even. In general smaller amounts of money are requested, maybe what’s available at home or what can be accessed with a quick trip to the bank. With so little time there’s a chance the police wont even be contacted, and if they are, there’s not much they can do, organize and formulate a plan.

2)Mobility. Many times the victim isn’t even located in a specific spot. Victims are usually kept mobile in the same vehicle they were taken. Maybe they take him driving around ATMs before making the call for ransom. Criminals drive the person around town while making the call and arranging the delivery of money. Many times the victims cell phone is used, but by driving around its practically impossible to track them to the exact location once the phone is disabled. Combined with the fast nature of the crime, it’s unlikely that it will be even reported, let alone tracked.

3)Lack of connection between kidnapper and victim. In traditional kidnappings there’s a leak of some kind, or someone that knew about the victim and his financial situation. Usually a business partner, acquaintance or even family members are involved in the conspiracy. There’s no such thing in an express kidnap. The victim and kidnappers don’t know one another at all. This make it extra difficult for the police to investigate and find a suspect.
Express kidnappings are still a daily problem in Argentina. I know of people that have been kidnapped and held captive for days. I even know one guy that was kidnapped on two occasions and escaped both! But express kidnaps are far more common and the advice given to the victims that bothered going to the police was always the same: just pay and get it over with.

FerFAL

Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 19, 2015, 9:12 pm

I have several chargers for my batteries but I’ve been looking for a nice one for some time now.
I wanted a charger that could handle multiple batteries, Nimh and Li-ion batteries and I wanted it to be capable of handling them individually in each port. Most of the chargers I own are designed to charge batteries in pairs. This complicates things given that most of the flashlights I own run on a single battery cell. Ideally, I would have loved the charger to have a display showing the voltage and battery charge stage.

Thrunite MCC-4 $39.95

You can imagine my surprise when the Thrunite MCC-4 got delivered to me this Friday, completely unexpected. The Thrunite representative was sending me a new flashlight for testing, which I knew was on its way, but she decided to also send me a charger and batteries to try out as well.
So far I’ve charged 18650 and a6340 Li-ions, which are charged up to 4.2V and AA NI-MH which charged up to 1.5 V. So far so good!

The charger can handle AA, AAA and C Nimh and 26650, 18650, 18490, 17670, 17335, 16340, 14500 and 10440 Li-ion batteries. I t also comes with a car charger for charging in vehicle.
I’ll do another review a few more months down the road but I’m honestly very happy with it. It’s exactly what I was looking for given the wide range of batteries I have floating around and the uneven number of cells that need recharging.
FerFAL
Fernando “FerFAL” Aguirre is the author of “The Modern Survival Manual: Surviving the Economic Collapse” and “Bugging Out and Relocating: When Staying is not an Option”.
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 19, 2015, 1:15 pm

(Folks, in case you haven’t read it, here’s the link to part I)
It is sad to see many of the problems Argentina has been experiencing after its economic collapse becoming more common in developed countries around the world. The world isn’t about to end, we’re not donning our leather jackets and holstering a sawed-off shotgun as we head to the Australian wasteland, but the world has changed, hasn’t it? When people ask me when did Argentina change from what it used to be to what it is now, I tell them that other than certain specific incidents, such as rioting, corruption scandals, resignations and defaults, there really wasn’t a specific date. You just wake up one day or contemplate the reality around you one day and you go “Damn, what the hell happened to us?” You see dollar-tree stores where you used to have bookstores, you see take-away joints of dubious quality where you once had fine restaurants. Malls close down or are left half deserted, with few patrons walking about. You see more people begging, the colors of the clothes worn fading as they get older and aren’t replaced with new ones, you see the stern faces, and then it hits you. You’re no longer living in the same place.
The purpose of this series of posts is to help you understand what may already be happening in your city and what is likely to happen in the future. Argentina’s economy collapsed in 2001. Today, experts mostly agree that the global economic crisis started in 2008, so Argentina has a seven year head start. Granted, hopefully your country won’t fall as hard as Argentina did, but you’ll see the similarities on almost all categories to a greater or lesser degree.

Infrastructure
As the economy suffers, so does the infrastructure. Everything from roads, power lines, sewers, flood prevention, traffic signaling, buildings, parks, bridges, it all requires constant maintenance. This is of course very expensive, and one of the more obvious signs of bad economic times is bad infrastructure all around. Anyone that ever traveled to the 3rd world has probably seen it: There’s not much urban coherence, everything seems to be just thrown together without consultation and a total lack of planning. Power, TV and phone cables hang over your head in all directions. Just like power fails each summer, communications aren’t very reliable either. Public buildings are in particularly poor shape. Ironically enough, this is the University of Buenos Aires, where I studied Architecture.

There’s no central heating or air conditioners, the elevator is famously dangerous when it works and the toilets are in pitiful condition. You have to get there on time to find a bench to sit on and you better keep an eye on your belongings because they will get stolen right in front of you.

Floods and other Disasters
The problem is again, lack of investment and infrastructure. There’s no money to train and keep enough rescue personnel. There’s practically nothing done in terms of prevention and education. Everything from widespread rioting to wildfires and pandemics, it’s all handled poorly to say the last.
Regarding floods, there’s enormous amounts of litter on the streets which clog storm drains. Storm drains are also made of pretty heavy metal so… remember the inflation problems, along with crime and unemployment mentioned in Part I? Storm drain grated inlets are usually made of heavy iron. That iron fetches a nice price when sold, so these are constantly being stolen all over the country. Everything from statues, historic plaques in monuments and even doorknobs have been stolen because of the price of metals.
If flood prevention investment is a problem in developed nations, you can imagine how bad it gets in a place like Argentina. Without hurricanes or even serious storms, just heavy rain is enough to end in tragedy.

In April 2013 a flood in the capital city La Plata claimed over 100 lives. As years go by and the infrastructure is not only not upgraded but keeps deteriorating, floods are yet another problem people in Buenos Aires have to deal with.
This problem is already occurring in USA.

Terrorism Threat
Less money also means less security on the borders. In the case of Argentina the problem was twofold. On one hand there not even an attempt to secure the borders, so anyone walks into the country. On the other hand there’s no political intention to do so either. People from Bolivia, Peru and Paraguay, the poorest northern neighbors, just walk into the country, get a local ID and sign up to collect benefits. They of course vote with this in mind, so the current Kirchner government knows that each immigrant vote is a vote for them. My wife for example, she had to renew her national ID. She waited in line for several hours and was handed a number, told to come back the following day. At the same time and right next to her line was another one for immigrants. Their line moved quicker and they got their ID the same day. Why does it take longer to renew an existing ID for a citizen while an immigrants with nothing to his name gets and entire citizenship registration and ID documents issued immediately? Because it was elections time and they wanted to make sure all the immigrants from Peru, Bolivia and Paraguay had their papers ready to vote. Maybe the Americans reading this can find some similarities here too.
Argentina is no stranger to terrorist attacks.
AMIA
In 1994 the Argentine Israelite Mutual Association was attacked with a car bomb, 85 people were killed. The Israeli embassy in Buenos Aires had already been bombed in 1992, leaving 29 people dead. These attacks have never been solved, and there’s an ongoing scandal involving the Kirchner government and the Iranian government who apparently plotted together to protect those responsible. Corruption, lack of funding and negligence provide greater opportunities for terrorists. For countries with an interventionist foreign policy, the risk is even greater and this should be considered as a potential risk in years to come, especially in emblematic cities and locations.

Culture and Society

Just like the infrastructure falls apart, so does culture. The changes here aren’t immediate, but they are visible. You notice people being more rude in general, but also less educated and more primitive than they used to be, which is quite sad. With the increased poverty you see a clear deterioration of culture in general. While there are honorable attempts in the field of arts, the lack of funds means artistic education and investment suffers greatly in spite of the good intentions of many. You can see some buzz regarding street arts, informal dance and improvisation, but in general a financial crisis will impact culture greatly. The need to earn a living becomes a top priority for most.
People that used to travel abroad find it harder to do so. Fashion, ideas regarding arts and design, it’s all less available than it used to be. Books for example, they become harder and harder or get. Five years ago when I traveled abroad I ended up bringing back two suitcases to Argentina. One of them was full of books. Thanks to the import restrictions, books have become very expensive in Argentina and the offer available is pretty limited. If you try ordering online you’ll find yourself having to travel to the international airport to pick it up from customs. You’ll also have to pay a 50% extra fee for importation and you’ll have to waste most of your day waiting in line to get it.
Little by little, you see people becoming more ignorant and it shows.
It takes a bit longer, but after 14 years you can see an entire generation that basically grew up knowing only the post collapse Argentina, barely recognizing the shadows of what was once the most sophisticated and culturally rich country in Latin America. Most 20 year old can barely read and write, if lucky, and those that consider themselves intellectuals simply regurgitate the Marxist nonsense they’ve been indoctrinated with thanks to the public education programs.

Media
In many ways the media reflected what was happening to society and culture. Sensationalism became more common in news reports. It didn’t help that the level of violence was already bad. With people getting killed and kidnaped on daily basis it kept getting harder and harder to shock the viewer. Eventually you didn’t pay much attention to the news because it repeated itself so much. The state managed TV channel became completely worthless, just a channel for propaganda that never actually reported anything. As time went by we saw the government adopt a new strategy: Buy or nationalize channels and various media that wasn’t in tune with the government. Eventually they regulated this strategy of theirs with a new media and telecommunications law passed in 2009. Only two media companies of relevance are left in the country that aren’t directly or indirectly controlled by the government. Censorship has drastically increased in Argentina in the last decade. Not only does the government control most printed media, radio and tv channels, those they don’t control are constantly harassed and journalists are threatened or attacked. The fear of speaking against the government is one of the worst tragedies and should be considered an important red flag to look for.

Politics
Nestor Kirchner reached the presidency of Argentina in 2003 exclusively thanks to the endorsement of Eduardo Duhalde, a Peronist politician with great power in Buenos Aires who had stepped up after Fernando de la Rua resigned and four other politicians resigned after taking the job. Just a few months after Kirchner was elected, it was soon clear that a very corrupt and authoritarian person had been placed in power, a typical Peronist populist leader.
The Kirchner government was particularly bad for the country for several reasons, but most of all because of its extreme, in your face corruption. Nestor Kirchner wasn’t the first corrupt president the country had ever seen, but he sure was the worst, the least shameful about it and the one that has robbed the most. Contracts would be handed over to the president’s own business associates. Public money would be shamelessly sent abroad to privately owned accounts “for safe keeping”. Family and friends would be placed in key, high ranking government positions in spite of having no qualifications at all for the job, the most extreme case of this being his own wife Cristina Kirchner taking office after his first period ended.
During hard economic times, during troubled sociopolitical events, extra caution should be taken so as to not place populist politicians in strategic positions, especially the presidency. This type of politician is the opposite of the honest , professional one actually qualified for the job.
If you have any comments of questions, leave them below. Part III will be posted later this week.
FerFAL
Fernando “FerFAL” Aguirre is the author of “The Modern Survival Manual: Surviving the Economic Collapse” and “Bugging Out and Relocating: When Staying is not an Option”.

Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 17, 2015, 1:16 am


1) Ferfal, the UK's Financial Times has an interesting article titled "A Spanish exodus to the cities leaves a desert in its wake".
http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/09fde45a-8053-11e4-9907-00144feabdc0.html#slide0

2) Some excerpts from the article: [All around Motos, in Spanish inland provinces such as Teruel, Guadalajara and Soria, villages are gradually being abandoned. A process of depopulation and rural flight that has lasted more than five decades is drawing to its seemingly inevitable conclusion.
What is left behind is a region twice the size of Belgium but so devoid of people that it rivals the Arctic provinces of Lapland as the least populated zone in Europe. For every square kilometre, there are fewer than eight inhabitants.] ["Checa is at the limit,” says Mr Alba. “Right now we still have a medical centre. We have a bank. We have a restaurant and a couple of bars. But if we lose more inhabitants we won’t be able to hold on to those services.”
Keeping the local school is crucial, says Juan Vicente Aparicio, the mayor of nearby
Orihuela del Tremedal. “The moment when there are not enough children to keep the school going, that is when you know that the village is finished. People don’t move to places where there is no school,” he says. ]
[Mr Alba admits that there is no easy solution to halt the slide. He travels to Madrid frequently to raise the plight of his region with senior politicians. More investment and better incentives for businesses to relocate would help, he says. ]
Don Williams
....

Rural flight is very common. Given Spain’s economic crisis, its no wonder that you see what you typically see during an economic crisis, which is people leaving small, hard hit towns and moving to bigger cities where there’s more job opportunities.
I know, its ironic because many in the prepper community seem to think that it will work the other way around. Still, doing a bit of research quickly shows that the opposite is what happens the most in these cases.
Let reality and previous events guide your preparedness plans folks, not some survival fiction novel!
Thanks for the article.

FerFAL
Fernando “FerFAL” Aguirre is the author of “The Modern Survival Manual: Surviving the Economic Collapse” and “Bugging Out and Relocating: When Staying is not an Option”.
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 16, 2015, 12:49 am



I’ve been carrying a Victorinox Midnight Minichamp in my keychain for over seven years now. It is in my opinion the best, most complete keychain multitool you can possibly have. It always seems to save the day. Everything else has changed or been upgraded but the Minichamp remains. The Leatherman Squirt PS4 is in some way similar and it does have pliers, but then again the screwdrivers are too short and it has 9 tools vs 15 tools for the Minichamp II.
Victorinox Swiss Army MiniChamp II Pocket Knife
Victorinox Minichamp II $31.97
Over the years, the Midnight Minichamp has been a trusted companion, always there when something needed cutting, when a scissor was needed, when something had to be repaired or when there was no pen around to take notes, complete forms or sign paperwork. Now, the Minichamp II has replaced my trusty keychain tool.


 The only difference is that the Midnight version included a LED light, while the Minichamp II has tweezers, which I find more useful. Other than that, everything remains the same. Lets take a look at the tools we have:
1 Pen Blade
The Minichamp main pen blade is just 3,5 centimeters long, but the perfectly heat treated X55CrMo14 blade holds and edge, flexes without breaking and should serve you well for years if treated with care and kept sharp.
2. Scissors
These, like all other Vics I’ve owned, are sturdy, well made and work well for the intended purposes given their small size.
3. Retractable stylus pen
This is something you’ll end up using a lot. Make sure you extend the ruler for better hand support if you need to write more than a quick note.
4 and 5. Nail file with nail cleaner
The nail file works well and I’ve used the nail cleaner as a flat Philips screwdriver successfully a number of times. Its also a good pointy/poky tool for when you don’t want to risk damaging the pen blade.
6. Emergency blade
This is comforting to have since the main blade is small and could snap by accident. The small Wharncliff works almost like a scalpel, idea for detail cuts. I make sure I keep this blade razor sharp while using the pen knife for ordinary tasks.
7 and 8. Orange Pealer with scrapper /Pharmaceutical Cut and picker tool
Supposedly used for pealing oranges… and scrapping. Then again this tool is also called a Pharmaceutical Cut and picker, intended for opening pill bottles and removing the cotton on top. I’ve used this tool to punch holes into leather and plastic, even drill holes into wood. It can also be used to cut open clamshell plastic packing, which many knives have problems with.
9, 10 and 11. Cap lifter with magnetic Phillips screwdriver tip and wire stripper
This tool is one of the most useful. The magnetic screwdriver is well designed for smaller screws. For larger ones I use the nail cleaner. The cap lifter is small but it works and the wire stripper can be used also for bending thick wires.
12 and 13. Flat screwdriver with engraved ruler.
The small screwdriver works well, with good reach. The ruler is good for measuring small screws and such, both inches and cm.
14. Cuticle pusher
This is the kind of thing that makes you wonder what were they thinking. Cuticle pusher… . I mostly use it as a large plain screwdriver or for prying when I don’t want to risk breaking the other tools.
15. Tweezers.
Its always nice to have these for splinters and other delicate tasks. With a moonlight mode in my keychain light, I’d rather have tweezers than the LED light.
FerFAL
 Fernando “FerFAL” Aguirre is the author of “The Modern Survival Manual: Surviving the Economic Collapse” and “Bugging Out and Relocating: When Staying is not an Option”.
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 14, 2015, 11:18 pm

Fernando,
Hoping life in Ireland finds you and yours doing well.
I'm in need of advice from someone who has actually lived through a real economic collapse, unlike these fiction writers.
I live in the USA where I believe for religious and factual reasons we're heading down the same road your country went through. (Excellent book, btw.)
My question is this; I own a Springfield M-1A in .308 caliber and since I'm now in my early fifties and not in the best of shape, I'm not seeing a need for this rifle in a collapse scenario. I'm not gonna be running around in the woods playing civil war 2. Though my wife and I do live out in the country about five miles from town which is the only reason I can see for maybe needing one.
I'm in need of cash for vehicle repair right now and I'm thinking since the rifle and its accessories don't really fit my lifestyle, what's your opinion on keeping it?
Thanks for your time and God bless you and your family.
William

Hello William,
Thanks for the well wishes and I’m glad you liked my book.
I’ve bought and sold more guns than I can remember. In general I haven’t regretted selling them, mostly because I was getting something I wanted even more, but to be honest there are a few I wish I had kept. If you have a gun you particularly like, especially if it’s a rare collectible and hard to find again, then it makes sense to try to keep it and not part with it.
Having said that, from a practical point of view chances are that, as you well said, you won’t be fighting Civil War II any time soon and pretty much 99% of your defensive needs can be covered with a good handgun. I do recommend having a rifle too though, but if you are needing the money now and your M-1A can provide the funds needed you can sell it, then later down the road you can get a good working AK or some other affordable semi auto rifle when you find one at a good price.
Hope that makes sene!
FerFAL
Fernando “FerFAL” Aguirre is the author of “The Modern Survival Manual: Surviving the Economic Collapse” and “Bugging Out and Relocating: When Staying is not an Option”.
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 13, 2015, 9:12 pm

"and they are feeding it to your kids as such", I would add.
This is a documentary you just have to watch. Nothing else even comes close to directly affecting both your survival and your quality of life, even your liberty, as much as the topics covered in this film.
Anyone with some common sense knows that most of the so called food grocery stores sell is plain garbage full of salt, fat and most of all, sugar but its amazing to see the pure evil behind the food industry. The food industry owns everything from the food that makes you sick to the politicians you supposedly elect. What’s even scarier, these global conglomerates don’t just run the food industry, they work along with (and many times own) the pharmaceutical industry, and the media in one sick vicious circle.
It was particularly interesting to see Michelle Obama’s change of attitude, from “lets stop eating junk” to “lets Move!”, as if moving ever made a fat kid lose any significant amount of weight compared to eating well. Of course, the bosses didn’t allow the first kind of attitude.
Fed Up is available on Amazon Insant Video and DVD. It's probably available elsewhere too, look it up. Do yourself and your family a big favor and watch this movie.
FerFAL

Fernando “FerFAL” Aguirre is the author of “The Modern Survival Manual: Surviving the Economic Collapse” and “Bugging Out and Relocating: When Staying is not an Option”.
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 13, 2015, 8:25 pm
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 12, 2015, 9:30 pm
Very interesting article posted over at loadoutroom.com on the adoption of 9mm by the FBI.

The FBI is Going 9mm: Here Comes the Science

FBI_Badge_&_gun
UPDATE: There have been some questions about the origin of this FBI statement. As the word of the FBI’s solicitation for 9mm handguns became public, they were hit with a flood of questions from state and local agencies, many who carry .40, about the change. This statement was prepared the FBI Training Division to answer those questions and was intended for dissemination to law enforcement agencies. It was not classified Law Enforcement Sensitive and has spread to civilians. I have confirmed its origin and feel that its release poses no threat to law enforcement while providing enlightening science, paid for by taxpayer dollars, to the public.
After the Miami Shootout in 1986, the FBI invented modern ammunition testing and led the law-enforcement movement to .40 caliber. The FBI is very conservative, and has one of the best ballistics labs in the world.
With the amazing 21st-century advances in ammunition technology, many people have advocated a move back to 9mm. Recently, the FBI announced they were buying a new gun in 9mm. When the FBI makes a move like that, they have thought it through very thoroughly.
I respect the science and how hard it was for them to make this change. The FBI takes their leadership role in law enforcement very seriously. Below is their carefully crafted message, sent to other agencies, explaining their reasons.

FBI 9MM Justification
FBI Training Division: FBI Academy, Quantico, VA
Executive Summary of Justification for Law Enforcement Partners
· Caliber debates have existed in law enforcement for decades
· Most of what is “common knowledge” with ammunition and its effects on the human target are rooted in myth and folklore
· Projectiles are what ultimately wound our adversaries and the projectile needs to be the basis for the discussion on what “caliber” is best
· In all the major law enforcement calibers there exist projectiles which have a high likelihood of failing LEO’s in a shooting incident and there are projectiles which have a high ting incident likelihood of succeeding for LEOs in a shooting incident
· Handgun stopping power is simply a myth
· The single most important factor in effectively wounding a human target is to have penetration to a scientifically valid depth (FBI uses 12” – 18”)
· LEOs miss between 70 – 80 percent of the shots fired during a shooting incident
· Contemporary projectiles (since 2007) have dramatically increased the terminal effectiveness of many premium line law enforcement projectiles (emphasis on the 9mm Luger offerings)
· 9mm Luger now offers select projectiles which are, under identical testing conditions, I outperforming most of the premium line .40 S&W and .45 Auto projectiles tested by the FBI
· 9mm Luger offers higher magazine capacities, less recoil, lower cost (both in ammunition and wear on the weapons) and higher functional reliability rates (in FBI weapons)
· The majority of FBI shooters are both FASTER in shot strings fired and more ACCURATE with shooting a 9mm Luger vs shooting a .40 S&W (similar sized weapons)
· There is little to no noticeable difference in the wound tracks between premium line law Auto enforcement projectiles from 9mm Luger through the .45 Auto
· Given contemporary bullet construction, LEO’s can field (with proper bullet selection) 9mm Lugers with all of the terminal performance potential of any other law enforcement pistol caliber with none of the disadvantages present with the “larger” calibers

Justification for Law Enforcement Partners
Rarely in law enforcement does a topic stir a more passionate debate than the choice of handgun caliber made by a law enforcement organization. Many voice their opinions by repeating the old adage “bigger is better” while others have “heard of this one time” where a smaller caliber failed and a larger caliber “would have performed much better.” Some even subscribe to the belief that a caliber exists which will provide a “one shot stop.” It has been stated, “Decisions on ammunition selection are particularly difficult because many of the pertinent issues related to handguns and ammunition are firmly rooted in myth and folklore.” This still holds as true today as it did when originally stated 20 years ago.
Caliber, when considered alone, brings about a unique set of factors to consider such as magazine capacity for a given weapon size, ammunition availability, felt recoil, weight and cost. What is rarely discussed, but most relevant to the caliber debate is what projectile is being considered for use and its terminal performance potential.
One should never debate on a gun make or caliber alone. The projectile is what wounds and ultimately this is where the debate/discussion should focus. In each of the three most common law enforcement handgun calibers (9mm Luger, .40 Smith & Wesson and .45 AUTO) there are projectiles which have a high likelihood of failing law enforcement officers and in each of these three calibers there are projectiles which have a high likelihood of succeeding for law enforcement officers during a shooting incident. The choice of a service projectile must undergo intense scrutiny and scientific evaluation in order to select the best available option.

Understanding Handgun Caliber Terminal Ballistic Realities
Many so called “studies” have been performed and many analyses of statistical data have been undertaken regarding this issue. Studies simply involving shooting deaths are irrelevant since the goal of law enforcement is to stop a threat during a deadly force encounter as quickly as possible. Whether or not death occurs is of no consequence as long as the threat of death or serious injury to law enforcement personnel and innocent third parties is eliminated.
“The concept of immediate incapacitation is the only goal of any law enforcement shooting and is the underlying rationale for decisions regarding weapons, ammunition, calibers and training.”1
Studies of “stopping power” are irrelevant because no one has ever been able to define how much power, force, or kinetic energy, in and of itself, is required to effectively stop a violent and determined adversary quickly, and even the largest of handgun calibers are not capable of delivering such force. Handgun stopping power is simply a myth. Studies of so?called “one shot stops” being used as a tool to define the effectiveness of one handgun cartridge, as opposed to another, are irrelevant due to the inability to account for psychological influences and due to the lack of reporting specific shot placement.
In short, extensive studies have been done over the years to “prove” a certain cartridge is better than another by using grossly flawed methodology and or bias as a precursor to manipulating statistics. In order to have a meaningful understanding of handgun terminal ballistics, one must only deal with facts that are not in dispute within the medical community, i.e. medical realities, and those which are also generally accepted within law enforcement, i.e. tactical realities.

Medical Realities
Shots to the Central Nervous System (CNS) at the level of the cervical spine (neck) or above, are the only means to reliably cause immediate incapacitation. In this case, any of the calibers commonly used in law enforcement, regardless of expansion, would suffice for obvious reasons. Other than shots to the CNS, the most reliable means for affecting rapid incapacitation is by placing shots to large vital organs thus causing rapid blood loss. Simply stated, shot placement is the most critical component to achieving either method of incapacitation.
Wounding factors between rifle and handgun projectiles differ greatly due to the dramatic differences in velocity, which will be discussed in more detail herein. The wounding factors, in order of importance, are as follows:
A. Penetration:
A projectile must penetrate deeply enough into the body to reach the large vital organs, namely heart, lungs, aorta, vena cava and to a lesser extent liver and spleen, in order to cause rapid blood loss. It has long been established by expert medical professionals, experienced in evaluating gunshot wounds, that this equates to a range of penetration of 12?18 inches, depending on the size of the individual and the angle of the bullet path (e.g., through arm, shoulder, etc.). With modern properly designed, expanding handgun bullets, this objective is realized, albeit more consistently with some law enforcement projectiles than others. 1 Handgun Wounding Factors and Effectiveness: Firearms Training Unit, Ballistic Research Facility, 1989.
B. Permanent Cavity:
The extent to which a projectile expands determines the diameter of the permanent cavity which, simply put, is that tissue which is in direct contact with the projectile and is therefore destroyed. Coupled with the distance of the path of the projectile (penetration), the total permanent cavity is realized. Due to the elastic nature of most human tissue and the low velocity of handgun projectiles relative to rifle projectiles, it has long been established by medical professionals, experienced in evaluating gunshot wounds, that the damage along a wound path visible at autopsy or during surgery cannot be distinguished between the common handgun calibers used in law enforcement. That is to say an operating room surgeon or Medical Examiner cannot distinguish the difference between wounds caused by .35 to .45 caliber projectiles.
C. Temporary Cavity:
The temporary cavity is caused by tissue being stretched away from the permanent cavity. If the temporary cavity is produced rapidly enough in elastic tissues, the tensile strength of the tissue can be exceeded resulting in tearing of the tissue. This effect is seen with very high velocity projectiles such as in rifle calibers, but is not seen with handgun calibers. For the temporary cavity of most handgun projectiles to have an effect on wounding, the velocity of the projectile needs to exceed roughly 2,000 fps. At the lower velocities of handgun rounds, the temporary cavity is not produced with sufficient velocity to have any wounding effect; therefore any difference in temporary cavity noted between handgun calibers is irrelevant. “In order to cause significant injuries to a structure, a pistol bullet must strike that structure directly.”2 2 DiMaio, V.J.M.: Gunshot Wounds, Elsevier Science Publishing Company, New York, NY, 1987, page 42.
D. Fragmentation:
Fragmentation can be defined as “projectile pieces or secondary fragments of bone which are impelled outward from the permanent cavity and may sever muscle tissues, blood vessels, etc., apart from the permanent cavity”3. Fragmentation does not reliably occur in soft tissue handgun wounds due to the low velocities of handgun bullets. When fragmentation does occur, fragments are usually found within one centimeter (.39”) of the permanent cavity.4 Due to the fact that most modern premium law enforcement ammunition now commonly uses bonded projectiles (copper jacket bonded to lead core), the likelihood of fragmentation is very low. For these reasons, wounding effects secondary to any handgun caliber bullet fragmentation are considered inconsequential. 3 Fackler, M.L., Malinowski, J.A.: “The Wound Profile: A Visual Method for Quantifying Gunshot Wound Components”, Journal of Trauma 25: 522?529, 1958. 4 Handgun Wounding Factors and Effectiveness: Firearms Training Unit, Ballistic Research Facility, 1989.

Psychology
Any discussion of stopping armed adversaries with a handgun has to include the psychological state of the adversary. Psychological factors are probably the most important relative to achieving rapid incapacitation from a gunshot wound to the torso.5 First and foremost, the psychological effects of being shot can never be counted on to stop an individual from continuing conscious voluntary action. Those who do stop commonly do so because they decide to, not because they have to.
The effects of pain are often delayed due to survival patterns secondary to “fight or flight” reactions within the body, drug/alcohol influences and in the case of extreme anger or aggression, pain can simply be ignored. Those subjects who decide to stop immediately after being shot in the torso do so commonly because they know they have been shot and are afraid of injury or death, regardless of caliber, velocity, or bullet design. It should also be noted that psychological factors can be a leading cause of incapacitation failures and as such, proper shot placement, adequate penetration, and multiple shots on target cannot be over emphasized. 5 Ibid.

Tactical Realities
Shot placement is paramount and law enforcement officers on average strike an adversary with only 20 – 30 percent of the shots fired during a shooting incident. Given the reality that shot placement is paramount (and difficult to achieve given the myriad of variables present in a deadly force encounter) in obtaining effective incapacitation, the caliber used must maximize the likelihood of hitting vital organs. Typical law enforcement shootings result in only one or two solid torso hits on the adversary. This requires that any projectile which strikes the torso has as high a probability as possible of penetrating deeply enough to disrupt a vital organ.
The Ballistic Research Facility has conducted a test which compares similar sized Glock pistols in both .40 S&W and 9mm calibers, to determine if more accurate and faster hits are achievable with one versus the other. To date, the majority of the study participants have shot more quickly and more accurately with 9mm caliber Glock pistols. The 9mm provides struggling shooters the best chance of success while improving the speed and accuracy of the most skilled shooters.

Conclusion
While some law enforcement agencies have transitioned to larger calibers from the 9mm Luger in recent years, they do so at the expense of reduced magazine capacity, more felt recoil, and given adequate projectile selection, no discernible increase in terminal performance.
Other law enforcement organizations seem to be making the move back to 9mm Luger taking advantage of the new technologies which are being applied to 9mm Luger projectiles. These organizations are providing their armed personnel the best chance of surviving a deadly force encounter since they can expect faster and more accurate shot strings, higher magazine capacities (similar sized weapons) and all of the terminal performance which can be expected from any law enforcement caliber projectile.
Given the above realities and the fact that numerous ammunition manufacturers now make 9mm Luger service ammunition with outstanding premium line law enforcement projectiles, the move to 9mm Luger can now be viewed as a decided advantage for our armed law enforcement personnel.

This information was published by Loose Rounds on September 21, 2014.
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 12, 2015, 7:08 pm
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 10, 2015, 9:49 pm
Folks, given current events I think it’s a good idea to revise the U.S. Marine Corps “Individual's Guide for Understanding and Surviving Terrorism” (click for link) The guide is quite good and has several useful tips to be better prepared for terror attacks.
With violent extremism becoming more common each day, its not unreasonable to assume you may find yourself involved in a seemingly random act of violence.
Besides reading the manual linked above, do keep the following in mind:
1)Be ready to defend yourself
A gun, knife, even your bare hands, when you are going to die anyway you are far better off fighting for your life rather than waiting to be executed. Have a gun, GET TRAINING ON HOW TO USE IT and carry it where legal to do so. Mass shooters and terrorists can and have been stopped by armed civilians that happened to be in the right place at the right time.
2)Be ready to patch yourself up.
One of the items I recommend having in your EDC bag is Celox hemostatic gauze.
CELOX Gauze Roll, 5-Foot by 3-Inch
This can be a true life saver when losing blood due to gun shot wounds, explosion, car crashes or hemorrhaging bleeding in general after accidents. A CAT tourniquet is also a good addition to stop bleeding.
New Military Issue Combat Application Tourniquet, CAT
3)Avoid confrontation.
This rarely receives much attention but it may be one of the most important things to keep in mind. Although innocent victims are also the target or terrorists, sometimes individuals are specifically targeted because of their political views or actions. Avoid provocation as much as possible. Avoid confronting people as much as you can. There’s no point in attacking, let alone ridiculing anyone’s religious views.
FerFAL
Fernando “FerFAL” Aguirre is the author of “The Modern Survival Manual: Surviving the Economic Collapse” and “Bugging Out and Relocating: When Staying is not an Option”.
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 9, 2015, 11:47 pm
 The family is holding a sign with a message to Argentina's president Cristina Kirchner. It says "Beloved Cristina have Mercy".  Néstor Femenía died yesterday in Chaco, Argentina. He was seven years old and weighted 20 kilos (44lbs).
Desgarrador. Néstor Femenía, el nene qom desnutrido y enfermo de tuberculosis que murió ayer en la Provincia del Chaco.

Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 8, 2015, 1:22 am

This is a pretty common question. Although I have received emails in the past from women asking how to get their husbands interested, in general it’s usually the other way around.
Babbling about zombies and the end of the world rarely impresses the lady of the house, but talking about ongoing world events, possible problems in your area and how that may affect your family tends to works pretty well.
Here’s an extra tip though: Check your bathroom for the brand of tampons or pads your wife or girlfriend uses and get yourself a couple extra large packs next time you’re stocking up on supplies.
A few years ago my wife was telling me she’d probably have to drop by the nearest drugstore because she needed to buy some. It was one of those late afternoons when you really wished you could just relax and stay home. You should have seen her face when I pulled a pack of those things from one of my boxes. It was as if I had just saved a dozen orphans from a burning building! It sure got me a bunch of extra brownie points but even better, it helped me make my point about being ready and having extra supplies of those things you’re just going to use anyway.
I was actually reminded of this by an ongoing situation in Argentina. Because of the tough importation bans, one of the many items that are becoming hard to come across are tampons. These are imported from Brazil and there’s a shortage of them across the country. It seems that better quality brands are the imported ones and that’s the ones most women seem to prefer. There’re locally produced brands as well but they aren’t as good and there’s not enough stock available of those either. It reminds me a bit of the TP shortage in Venezuela some time ago. Stock up folks! You won’t be trading any of these for bars of gold after some unrealistic end of the world scenario, but when there’s shortages, or when you simply run out at an inconvenient time, it’s nice to have them. Besides, these are products you’re going to use anyway, and you even end up saving money when buying in bulk. This is especially true when you also have to worry about inflation.
FerFAL
Fernando “FerFAL” Aguirre is the author of “The Modern Survival Manual: Surviving the Economic Collapse” and “Bugging Out and Relocating: When Staying is not an Option”.
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 6, 2015, 10:01 pm

Hi Fernando, I have been following your blog for a few years now and
have both your books (and my 5 star reviews of each are among the top
rated on Amazon for them). Keep up the good work.

I have a question for you. I have been reading a few fiction books
lately that deal with CME/EMP situations, and while they make
excellent fiction, it's hard to find significant real world
information on both the likelihood and severity of these types of
events. The books, of course, say they are possible or even probable
events based on hard scientific facts...

I have read the EMP Commission's report, and it does indeed sound like
an EMP attack would be quite destructive. And yes there are countries
and terrorist organizations that could theoretically access nuclear
weapons to perform an EMP attack. But, I doubt it would be so easy to
deploy a weapon like this several hundred KMs over North America
undetected and unintercepted.

As for CME's, sure they have happened in the past but they seem to
have been quite localized and not terribly disruptive long-term (power
was restored to many in Quebec within hours of the event that struck
them in 1989). Of course bigger events are theoretically possible but
is something that wipes out all electricity on earth even remotely
probable? From what I've researched, the answer is no.

What do you think? Are these events at all worth spending time and
resources preparing for? Or should they remain squarely in Science
Fiction?

Much appreciated!
Craig
.......

Hello Craig,
Before addressing the rest of your email I wanted to thank you for the five star reviews in Amazon. They really do mean a lot to me and help me a great deal so thank you for taking the time to write them. It’s thanks to people like you that I can do this.
This is an interesting topic. I spent some time doing further research so as to understand better the real risk of an EMP (electromagnetic pulse) and CME (coronal mass ejection). According to what we’ve read from the media this last couple years, it seems that the sun is about to fry us all into the dark ages any minute now. All of sudden we are bombarded with alarmist articles. This is the first thing to notice: When the media goes non-stop about how the sky is falling, that usually means you have to keep digging.
This is probably one of the most professional, well balanced articles addressing this topic. The EMP threat: fact, fiction, and response. http://www.thespacereview.com/article/1549/1
Turns out that many of the alarmist proponents have a financial motivation, either because of the extra budgets they would be getting or because their companies would be supplying the services to harden the grid.
So, how big of a risk is it? The short answer is that it’s a real possibility, but it has been very much exaggerated in my opinion.
A weaponized EMP attack is highly unlikely. It’s a complex type of attack that isn’t viable for guerilla and terrorist groups which as we’ve seen before use other means. I’d put an EMP attack practically at the bottom of my list of likely threats. The risk of a solar flare or CME is greater, but the chances of it being worse than the disasters we’re already used to is rare. The possibility of a solar flare throwing all of North America into a new dark age is practically non-existent, let alone the entire planet. An event of such magnitude is highly unlikely and even if a powerful coronal mass ejection hits Earth the hardening and contingency plan for such an event has already started. Can it happen? Yes. There is an estimated 12% chance of a similar event such as the Solar storm of 1859 occurring again between 2012 and 2022. Will it be as bad as recently advertised? No. How bad could it be? It could be a large scale disaster but the same could be said of tsunamis, war, the San Andreas Fault collapsing or the entire Yellowstone super volcano blowing up.
To answer your question I believe that yes, they are possible, have happened before, but we also know that even if it does happen it won’t be nearly as bad as seen in movies or novels. I did enjoy reading “One second After” but I think that as of right now, its safe to say that all of us have more urgent issues to be addressed, which are far more likely and far more dangerous.
What to do to prepare just in case? I believe the core preparedness we always talk about here would be crucial in such a worst case scenario. Should a large CME affect a large portion of the country, you’re looking at having enough supplies, food, medicine, fuel for cooking and heating, so as to last until services are restored. A month worth of food and supplies should be enough, but more sure can’t hurt.
FerFAL
Fernando “FerFAL” Aguirre is the author of “The Modern Survival Manual: Surviving the Economic Collapse” and “Bugging Out and Relocating: When Staying is not an Option”.
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 5, 2015, 1:48 am

Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 4, 2015, 1:38 am
I thought you might find this interesting – several neighborhoods in
greater Seattle are now paying for additional police patrols
(utilizing off-duty officers).
A-

Fed up with crime, Seattle residents hiring off-duty officers

By Cayle Thompson Published: Jan 1, 2015 at 4:18 PM PST Last Updated: Jan 2, 2015 at 9:23 AM PST
SEATTLE — Residents in North Seattle’s Whittier Heights neighborhood say they are tired of crime. So beginning with the new year, they are hiring additional help.
“The plan is to have more patrols,” said resident Brad Renton.
Renton is the director of the newly formed Whittier Heights Patrol Association, a state chartered non-profit he started in November after witnessing several crimes in his neighborhood.
“One of them was a strong armed robbery at the pet store,” Renton said. “It happened about eight feet from me.”
Renton says there are hotspots in the neighborhood, including nearby Baker Park, where has graffiti and signs warning against drug use.
As of January 1st, already vigilant neighbors will have reinforcement from off-duty Seattle Police officers, hired for after-hours work through Seattle Securities, Inc. Officers will wear their uniform, but patrol in unmarked cars.
Neighbors act as “subscribers,” paying a yearly $250 fee. One “subscription” covers one night of patrol. Renton says his goal is to have more than 300 subscribers. As of January 1st, neighbors have nearly a month covered.
Renton says patrols won’t happen every night. Instead, off-duty officers will target nights in which crimes are statistically more likely to happen.
“You’ll see them,” Renton assures. “They’ll be here. Their presence will be noted.”
SPD already patrols Whittier Heights and surrounding areas. In October, police busted a major North Seattle crime ring believed to be responsible for hundreds of burglaries, stolen mail, and identity theft.
But it followed a leaked memo from police, admitting their North Precinct is short staffed.
Seattle police say they have heard the concerns, and are working to address response times to property crime in areas like Whittier Heights, including hiring more officers.
Until then, Renton and his neighbors see the private patrols as an opportunity to step up and tell criminals to get out.
“We felt this was something we could do to keep our neighborhood intact and improve the quality of life,” Renton said. “This is a good place.”
 
Hi,
Interesting, it seems to be happening in other parts as well.

That’s very common in Argentina. I paid off-duty cops doing private security in my neighborhood for years. Of course, it is open for debate. On one hand, with his own time an off-duty officer can do whatever he wants. At the same time, you could ask why is he charging for something he’s already supposed to be doing, which is keeping the neighborhood safe. There’s a bit of a conflict of interest there. Either way, in my experience it was well worth paying a bit extra each month for the added security. The blocks that were guarded where safe, the one’s that weren’t, well, you can figure they weren’t as safe.
It’s interesting to see yet another similarity. Years ago it was easy to see how something like this would eventually happen and I have written about it many times. How as the infrastructure and public services start failing and suffering they slowly become “privatized”, increasing the gap between those that can pay for it and those that cant.
FerFAL
Fernando “FerFAL” Aguirre is the author of “The Modern Survival Manual: Surviving the Economic Collapse” and “Bugging Out and Relocating: When Staying is not an Option”.
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 2, 2015, 9:21 pm
Russia’s Vladimir Putin (left) and China’s Xi Jinping meet at APEC in November.(Reuters/Kim Kyung-Hoon)
Its interesting to notice how they all seem to be getting along. China keeps making deals with countries in Latin America, recently made a $2.3 billion currency-swap deal with Argentina not long after announcing RT en Español (Russian TV in Spanish) . The China-Russia Alliance was done before the Ukraine crisis even started. I very much doubt Putin would have made such a move without China’s support. At the same time, you see the western media focusing on how bad the economic sanctions have hurt Russia, but then you have Russians, even a Russian blog reader that commented here, saying that things aren’t that bad and that they’ve seen a lot worse.
The Russia-China (and Latin America) Strategic Partnership
FerFAL
Author: TheModernSurvivalist
Posted: January 2, 2015, 12:44 am




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